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Republicans had 349 pages of opposition research ready to bury Francesca Hong in the general election

Ben Marquis,
 August 14, 2026

Wisconsin Republicans spent months building a dossier on democratic socialist Francesca Hong, compiling 349 pages of opposition research they planned to unleash if she won the Democratic gubernatorial primary. She didn't. And now that thick file sits unused, a monument to a general election showdown that never materialized.

Hong, a Democratic Socialists of America member and state representative, lost the primary by the thinnest of margins to Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley. The margin was staggering in its narrowness: Crowley took 39.8% to Hong's 39.4%, as the Washington Examiner reported, despite Hong holding polling leads as wide as 22 points just days before voters went to the booths.

For Republicans, the result was bittersweet. They wanted Hong as the nominee. They believed she was beatable. And they had the ammunition to prove it.

The 349-page playbook

Breitbart reported that GOP operatives had assembled 349 pages of opposition research on Hong, cataloging her voting record, public statements, social media history, and political alliances. The material was designed to define her as a radical in a general election contest in one of the nation's most closely watched battleground states.

Pro-GOP super PACs, including one aligned with the Republican Governors Association, had already spent millions during the primary to boost Hong's candidacy, viewing her as the weakest possible Democratic opponent for Republican nominee Rep. Tom Tiffany, Fox News reported. The strategy was straightforward: help the socialist win the primary, then destroy her in the general.

The 349 pages would have given them plenty of raw material. Hong's record included resurfaced social media posts calling for defunding and abolishing the police, as well as a 2020 post calling to "cancel Thanksgiving." She later walked back both positions, but the original statements remained in the GOP file.

A socialist's vulnerabilities

Hong's political liabilities extended well beyond old social media posts. The Washington Free Beacon cataloged a series of positions and associations that would have featured prominently in any general election campaign against her. She had campaigned alongside Hasan Piker, the socialist influencer, and Rep. Ilhan Omar simultaneously. She voted against child grooming penalties. And she had denounced not just Thanksgiving but the Fourth of July, Christmas, and Halloween.

The Free Beacon's Andrew Stiles put it bluntly: "Democratic primary voters have shown a remarkable tolerance for anti-American lunacy in 2026. On Tuesday, they finally found their limit."

That limit, though, was barely reached. Hong came within fractions of a percentage point of winning the nomination, which would have handed Republicans exactly the opponent they wanted in a state where federal and state political battles have intensified across the board.

The Free Beacon noted that Hong would have been the second Democratic candidate endorsed by Piker to win a statewide primary this cycle. Abdul El-Sayed, backed by the same influencer, won the Michigan Democratic Senate primary by a single percentage point over his establishment opponent just one week earlier.

How the establishment pulled it off

Crowley's victory owed much to a late consolidation of Democratic establishment support. Outgoing Gov. Tony Evers endorsed Crowley last month, framing him as the mainstream candidate best positioned to compete in November.

"I am so proud of David. He's the future of our Party, and I can't wait for him to be our next governor."

That endorsement from Evers carried institutional weight in a primary where the progressive and establishment wings of the party collided head-on. The Cook Political Report had rated the Wisconsin governor's race a toss-up and noted that Republicans had a slightly better chance of defeating Hong than Crowley in the general election. Democratic insiders understood the math.

The speed of Hong's collapse in the final days remains striking. Polling had consistently shown her with commanding leads. Something shifted in the race's closing stretch, though investigators of Democratic primary dynamics have not publicly identified a single decisive factor. The establishment's late push, combined with Republican super PAC spending that may have inadvertently raised Hong's negatives among Democratic voters, likely played a role.

The pattern of political organizations quietly channeling resources to shape electoral outcomes is hardly new. But the scale of GOP investment in boosting a Democratic primary candidate they wanted to face speaks to how seriously Republicans viewed Wisconsin as winnable terrain.

Hong concedes and falls in line

Hong endorsed Crowley the day after her upset loss, Just The News reported, framing her campaign as part of something larger than one election.

"This campaign was not about getting one person into office. It is about building a movement for permanent affordability and a government that puts working people first."

She also offered a direct endorsement: "Congratulations to David Crowley and his team. I fully support him and look forward to working with him to defeat Congressman Tiffany in November."

Crowley, for his part, called for party unity heading into what promises to be one of the most competitive gubernatorial races in the country. The general election matchup between Crowley and Trump-endorsed Rep. Tom Tiffany will test whether Wisconsin, a state that has swung between parties repeatedly in recent cycles, tilts red or blue in a cycle where political accountability and transparency remain front-of-mind for voters.

What Republicans lost

The 349 pages of opposition research represent more than wasted effort. They represent a strategic miscalculation that partially succeeded but ultimately fell short. Republicans spent real money trying to elevate Hong, and she came agonizingly close to winning. But close doesn't put a socialist on the ballot in November.

Tiffany now faces Crowley, a candidate the Cook Political Report views as harder to beat. The toss-up rating remains, but the dynamics shift when the Democratic nominee lacks a paper trail of calling for police abolition and canceling national holidays.

That said, Crowley is not without vulnerabilities of his own. His record as Milwaukee County Executive will face scrutiny, and the broader political environment in Wisconsin remains volatile. Republicans still hold structural advantages in a cycle where national security concerns and government accountability questions continue to energize conservative voters.

Hong told supporters on primary night that the movement she built would outlast the campaign. "We have built something that will change politics forever," she said. Republicans had 349 pages that suggested the opposite conclusion. Voters will never get to decide who was right.

The general election ahead

Wisconsin's governor's race now enters its final phase with a matchup neither side's strategists originally anticipated. Crowley must unify a Democratic base that nearly chose a democratic socialist over him. Tiffany must pivot from a strategy built around running against the furthest-left candidate possible to one that targets a more conventional Democrat.

The 349-page file will gather dust. But the political instincts behind it tell a clear story about where Republicans believe Democratic vulnerabilities lie. They wanted to run against socialism, against police abolition, against the rejection of American traditions. They may not get that fight in Wisconsin's governor's mansion race. But the fact that a DSA member nearly won a major battleground primary suggests the fight is coming, sooner or later, somewhere else.

When a party's establishment has to sprint to stop a socialist from winning by four-tenths of a point, the 349 pages aren't the story. The fact that anyone thought they'd need them is.

About Ben Marquis

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